Al Matavao vs Theoren Thorn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamKaizen MMA & Yoga
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al MatavaoTheoren Thorn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Theoren Thorn59%
Al Matavao 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Theoren Thorn a 59% favorite over Al Matavao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.
Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.