Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Baudot vs Terrance Chatman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Baudot
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Alan Baudot

“Black Samourai”

8-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"Reach76"
253 lbsWeight266 lbs
MMA FactoryTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BaudotNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Terrance ChatmanNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alan BaudotTerrance Chatman
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance Chatman84%
Alan Baudot 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance Chatman a 84% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.

Alan Baudot enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Terrance Chatman 80%.

Alan Baudot carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.