Alan Baudot vs Timothy Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record18-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach77.50
253 lbsWeight266 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan BaudotTimothy Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Timothy Johnson53%
Alan Baudot 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Timothy Johnson a 53% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alan Baudot's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.
Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Timothy Johnson 72%.
Alan Baudot carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.