Alan Baudot vs Tom Aspinall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
253 lbsWeight251 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
Tom Aspinall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alan Baudot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-8→ 1578
If they win+8→ 1783
If they lose-24→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan BaudotTom Aspinall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Aspinall87%
Alan Baudot 13%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Aspinall a 87% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Tom Aspinall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1775 to 1586, a 189-point edge.
Tom Aspinall enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Aspinall 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.