Alan Baudot vs Tom Aspinall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
253 lbsWeight251 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
Tom Aspinall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alan Baudot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1586
If they lose-7→ 1554
If they win+7→ 1782
If they lose-25→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan BaudotTom Aspinall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Aspinall84%
Alan Baudot 16%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Aspinall a 84% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Tom Aspinall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1775 to 1561, a 214-point edge.
Alan Baudot enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tom Aspinall enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Aspinall 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.