Alan Baudot vs Yorgan De Castro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
253 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan BaudotYorgan De Castro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Baudot61%
Yorgan De Castro 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Baudot a 61% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yorgan De Castro's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.
Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.
Alan Baudot carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.