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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Belcher vs Alexey Shurkevich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record19-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
233 lbsWeight172 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamStorm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BelcherNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Alexey ShurkevichNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
0.44
Takedown avg.
Not available
27%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
55%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.87
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alan BelcherAlexey Shurkevich
1600165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
5 (26%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (16%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Belcher54%
Alexey Shurkevich 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Belcher a 54% favorite over Alexey Shurkevich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.

Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Alexey Shurkevich 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.