Alan Belcher vs Jorge Santiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record25-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
233 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamBlackzilians
What's at stake
Jorge Santiago is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alan Belcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1698
If they lose-11→ 1674
If they win+11→ 1714
If they lose-13→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan BelcherJorge Santiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Belcher60%
Jorge Santiago 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Belcher a 60% favorite over Jorge Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Santiago's way (47%).
Jorge Santiago holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1685, a 18-point edge.
Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Santiago 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.