Alan Belcher vs Kalib Starnes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record17-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
233 lbsWeight205 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamAegis Athletics
What's at stake
Alan Belcher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kalib Starnes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-8→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan BelcherKalib Starnes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Belcher74%
Kalib Starnes 26%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Belcher a 74% favorite over Kalib Starnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Alan Belcher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1562, a 123-point edge.
Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Kalib Starnes 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.