Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Belcher vs Kendall Grove

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record24-19-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
233 lbsWeight185 lbs
RoufusportTeamStraight Rootless Fight Team

What's at stake

Alan Belcher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kendall Grove carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan BelcherNow 1685
If they win+9→ 1694
If they lose-15→ 1670
Kendall GroveNow 1589
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
60%
Strike defense
55%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0.61
27%
Takedown accuracy
63%
55%
Takedown defense
57%
0.87
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Alan BelcherKendall Grove
1600165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (33%)
5 (26%)
Submission
10 (42%)
3 (16%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Belcher75%
Kendall Grove 25%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Belcher a 75% favorite over Kendall Grove in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Alan Belcher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1589, a 96-point edge.

Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Kendall Grove 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.