Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Belcher vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record30-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
233 lbsWeight185 lbs
RoufusportTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alan Belcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan BelcherNow 1685
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-10→ 1675
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+10→ 1751
If they lose-14→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
60%
Strike defense
65%
0.44
Takedown avg.
1.05
27%
Takedown accuracy
43%
55%
Takedown defense
63%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Alan BelcherMichael Bisping
170017502011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
5 (26%)
Submission
2 (7%)
3 (16%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alan Belcher and Michael Bisping within a point of even.

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1685, a 56-point edge.

Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.