Alan Belcher vs Patrick Cote
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
233 lbsWeight170 lbs
RoufusportTeamBTT Canada
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alan Belcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1698
If they lose-11→ 1674
If they win+11→ 1739
If they lose-13→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan BelcherPatrick Cote
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote54%
Alan Belcher 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 54% favorite over Alan Belcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1685, a 43-point edge.
Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.