Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Belcher vs Sean Salmon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record18-21-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
233 lbsWeight205 lbs
RoufusportTeamTBD

What's at stake

Alan Belcher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Sean Salmon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan BelcherNow 1685
If they win+5→ 1690
If they lose-19→ 1666
Sean SalmonNow 1458
If they win+19→ 1477
If they lose-5→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
1.58
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
60%
Strike defense
65%
0.44
Takedown avg.
4.30
27%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
0%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alan BelcherSean Salmon
150016001700201120122013

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
5 (26%)
Submission
6 (33%)
3 (16%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Belcher83%
Sean Salmon 17%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Belcher a 83% favorite over Sean Salmon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Alan Belcher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1458, a 227-point edge.

Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Salmon enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Sean Salmon 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.