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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Gomes de Castro vs Edwin Figueroa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-8-1Record9-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamMohler MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan Gomes de CastroNow 1552
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Edwin FigueroaNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.20
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
37%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Alan Gomes de CastroEdwin Figueroa
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
4 (25%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Gomes de Castro75%
Edwin Figueroa 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Gomes de Castro a 75% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1551), separated by just 1 points.

Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alan Gomes de Castro finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Edwin Figueroa 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.