Alan Gomes de Castro vs Eoghan Masoliver
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alan Gomes de Castro and Eoghan Masoliver within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Eoghan Masoliver enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alan Gomes de Castro finishes 63% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
16-8-1Record2-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach67"
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1597 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan Gomes de CastroEoghan Masoliver