Alan Gomes de Castro vs Ronald Carillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-1Record4-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
137 lbsWeight132 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan Gomes de CastroRonald Carillo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Gomes de Castro64%
Ronald Carillo 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Gomes de Castro a 64% favorite over Ronald Carillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1551), separated by just 1 points.
Alan Gomes de Castro finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Carillo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.