Alan Jouban vs Belal Muhammad
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record24-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73.50Reach72''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Belal Muhammad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alan Jouban carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1660
If they win+8→ 1813
If they lose-16→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1769 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Belal Muhammad75%
Alan Jouban 25%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Belal Muhammad a 75% favorite over Alan Jouban in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Belal Muhammad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1670, a 135-point edge.
Belal Muhammad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Belal Muhammad 25%.
Alan Jouban carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.