Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Jouban vs Ben Saunders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Jouban
us

Alan Jouban

“Brahma”

17-7-0WelterweightUFC

1670Good

Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record23-13-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
73.50Reach45,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamAmerican Top Team Orlando

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan JoubanNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Ben SaundersNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
60%
Strike defense
51%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0.20
44%
Takedown accuracy
40%
59%
Takedown defense
67%
0.26
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Alan JoubanBen Saunders
16501700201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (26%)
6 (35%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Jouban64%
Ben Saunders 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Jouban a 64% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1667), separated by just 3 points.

Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ben Saunders 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.