Alan Jouban vs Brendan O'Reilly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73.50Reach69,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamGamebred Submission Fighting
What's at stake
Alan Jouban is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brendan O'Reilly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1680
If they lose-22→ 1648
If they win+22→ 1549
If they lose-10→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanBrendan O'Reilly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Jouban75%
Brendan O'Reilly 25%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Jouban a 75% favorite over Brendan O'Reilly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alan Jouban holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1527, a 143-point edge.
Brendan O'Reilly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Brendan O'Reilly 50%.
Alan Jouban carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.