Alan Jouban vs Dwight Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73.50Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black HouseTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Alan Jouban is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dwight Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanDwight Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Jouban56%
Dwight Grant 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Jouban a 56% favorite over Dwight Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alan Jouban holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1643, a 27-point edge.
Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Grant 64%.
Dwight Grant carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.