Alan Jouban vs Gabriel Vinicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73.50Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Black HouseTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
If they win+24→ 1695
If they lose-24→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanGabriel Vinicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Vinicius70%
Alan Jouban 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 70% favorite over Alan Jouban in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.
Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Vinicius 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.