Alan Jouban vs Mike Perry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73.50Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamIndependent
What's at stake
Mike Perry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alan Jouban carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1655
If they win+15→ 1701
If they lose-17→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanMike Perry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry66%
Alan Jouban 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 66% favorite over Alan Jouban in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Mike Perry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1670, a 16-point edge.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.
Alan Jouban carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.