Alan Jouban vs Rich Walsh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73.50Reach73.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black HouseTeamVT1 Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Alan Jouban is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rich Walsh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1646
If they win+36→ 1517
If they lose-12→ 1469
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanRich Walsh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Jouban76%
Rich Walsh 24%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Jouban a 76% favorite over Rich Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Alan Jouban holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1481, a 189-point edge.
Rich Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Rich Walsh 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.