Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Omer vs Julian Erosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record31-13-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Stallion CageTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan OmerNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Julian ErosaNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
6.21
56%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.27
65%
Strike defense
49%
1.69
Takedown avg.
1.78
43%
Takedown accuracy
44%
67%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Alan OmerJulian Erosa
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (38%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
12 (50%)
Submission
14 (45%)
3 (13%)
Decision
5 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Julian Erosa52%
Alan Omer 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julian Erosa a 52% favorite over Alan Omer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Alan Omer enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Omer finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.