Alan Patrick vs Damir Hadžović
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamArte Suave Copenhagen
What's at stake
Alan Patrick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Damir Hadžović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-17→ 1602
If they win+17→ 1618
If they lose-15→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickDamir Hadžović
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Patrick53%
Damir Hadžović 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Patrick a 53% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Alan Patrick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1601, a 18-point edge.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Damir Hadžović 71%.
Alan Patrick and Damir Hadžović share 1 common opponent: Mairbek Taisumov.
Alan Patrick carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.