Alan Patrick vs Garett Whiteley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record7-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamIndyBoxing and Grappling
What's at stake
Alan Patrick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Garett Whiteley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-18→ 1601
If they win+18→ 1589
If they lose-14→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickGarett Whiteley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Patrick72%
Garett Whiteley 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Patrick a 72% favorite over Garett Whiteley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Alan Patrick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1571, a 48-point edge.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Garett Whiteley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Garett Whiteley 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.