Alan Patrick vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alan Patrick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1640
If they lose-11→ 1608
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green92%
Alan Patrick 8%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 92% favorite over Alan Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1619, a 104-point edge.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Alan Patrick carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.