Alan Patrick vs Mairbek Taisumov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
74"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTeam Taisumov
What's at stake
Mairbek Taisumov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alan Patrick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1641
If they lose-10→ 1609
If they win+8→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickMairbek Taisumov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairbek Taisumov78%
Alan Patrick 22%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairbek Taisumov a 78% favorite over Alan Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Mairbek Taisumov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1619, a 125-point edge.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mairbek Taisumov 92%.
Alan Patrick and Mairbek Taisumov share 1 common opponent: Damir Hadžović.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.