Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Patrick vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
74"Reach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan PatrickNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Rustam AsuevNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.82
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
43%
Strike defense
TBD
3.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.26
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alan PatrickRustam Asuev
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
9 (60%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Asuev60%
Alan Patrick 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 60% favorite over Alan Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1622), separated by just 3 points.

Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.