Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Philpott vs Caolán Loughran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Philpott
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Alan Philpott

“Super Ali”

21-18-0FeatherweightPFL

1492Average

Tale of the tape

21-18-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Caolán Loughran is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alan Philpott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan PhilpottNow 1492
If they win+17→ 1509
If they lose-7→ 1485
Caolán LoughranNow 1646
If they win+9→ 1655
If they lose-23→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.80
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alan PhilpottCaolán Loughran
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
9 (43%)
Submission
3 (27%)
7 (33%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran87%
Alan Philpott 13%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 87% favorite over Alan Philpott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Caolán Loughran holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1492, a 154-point edge.

Alan Philpott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Philpott finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Caolán Loughran 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.