Alan Silva vs Alessio Sakara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
If they win+12→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaAlessio Sakara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva60%
Alessio Sakara 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 60% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alessio Sakara's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1548), separated by just 6 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Alessio Sakara 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.