Alan Silva vs Bubba McDaniel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record31-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight204 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaBubba McDaniel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva59%
Bubba McDaniel 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 59% favorite over Bubba McDaniel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bubba McDaniel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1545), separated by just 3 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Bubba McDaniel 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.