Alan Silva vs Caio Magalhaes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record10-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-Reach73.00
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaCaio Magalhaes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva63%
Caio Magalhaes 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 63% favorite over Caio Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caio Magalhaes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1545), separated by just 3 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Caio Magalhaes 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.