Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Silva vs Jonathan Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Silva
br

Alan Silva

“Abacaxi”

20-14-1MiddleweightOKMMA

1542Average

Tale of the tape

20-14-1Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-Reach75,0"
184 lbsWeight217 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan SilvaNow 1542
If they win+12→ 1554
If they lose-12→ 1530
Jonathan WilsonNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.65
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.37
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alan SilvaJonathan Wilson
15001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (70%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
3 (15%)
Submission
1 (11%)
3 (15%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alan Silva and Jonathan Wilson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1546), separated by just 4 points.

Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Wilson 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.