Alan Silva vs Phil Baroni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record16-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1555
If they lose-12→ 1531
If they win+12→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaPhil Baroni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Silva60%
Phil Baroni 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Silva a 60% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Baroni's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1547), separated by just 4 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.