Alan Silva vs Tagir Machmudov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record3-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-Reach72.4"
184 lbsWeight176 lbs
Team AbacaxiTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan SilvaTagir Machmudov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tagir Machmudov52%
Alan Silva 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Machmudov a 52% favorite over Alan Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1554), separated by just 1 points.
Alan Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alan Silva finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Machmudov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.