Alan Yamaniha vs Seigo Yamamoto
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Alan Yamaniha68%
Seigo Yamamoto 32%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Yamaniha a 68% favorite over Seigo Yamamoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Alan Yamaniha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1400, a 192-point edge.
Alan Yamaniha enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Seigo Yamamoto enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Yamaniha finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Seigo Yamamoto 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-11-4Record7-16-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
66"ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight136 lbs
Bonsai Jiu-Jitsu· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Cloud
What's at stake
Alan Yamaniha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Seigo Yamamoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1598
If they lose-18→ 1574
If they win+24→ 1424
If they lose-8→ 1392
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan YamanihaSeigo Yamamoto