Alatengheili vs Casey Kenney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-2Record16-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamRise Combat Sports
What's at stake
Casey Kenney is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alatengheili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-8→ 1601
If they win+11→ 1736
If they lose-21→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AlatengheiliCasey Kenney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Casey Kenney75%
Alatengheili 25%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Casey Kenney a 75% favorite over Alatengheili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Casey Kenney holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1609, a 116-point edge.
Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alatengheili finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Casey Kenney 44%.
Casey Kenney carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.