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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alatengheili vs Casey Kenney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alatengheili
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Alatengheili

“The Mongolian Knight”

18-10-2BantamweightUFC

1622Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-2Record16-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamRise Combat Sports

What's at stake

Casey Kenney is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alatengheili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

AlatengheiliNow 1622
If they win+15→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1613
Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+11→ 1736
If they lose-21→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
4.85
33%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.67
57%
Strike defense
58%
1.74
Takedown avg.
1.09
9%
Takedown accuracy
36%
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

AlatengheiliCasey Kenney
160016501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (31%)
10 (56%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Casey Kenney70%
Alatengheili 30%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Casey Kenney a 70% favorite over Alatengheili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Casey Kenney holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1622, a 103-point edge.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alatengheili finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Casey Kenney 44%.

Casey Kenney carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.