Alatengheili vs Gustavo Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-2Record16-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Gustavo Lopez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alatengheili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1622
If they lose-11→ 1598
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-13→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AlatengheiliGustavo Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alatengheili and Gustavo Lopez within a point of even.
Gustavo Lopez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1609, a 32-point edge.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alatengheili finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.