Albert Morales vs Brett Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-1Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach39.00
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Systems Training CenterTeamChris Rees Academy
What's at stake
Albert Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brett Johns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1641
If they lose-13→ 1617
If they win+17→ 1620
If they lose-15→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Albert MoralesBrett Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brett Johns60%
Albert Morales 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Brett Johns a 60% favorite over Albert Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Morales's way (46%).
Albert Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1603, a 27-point edge.
Albert Morales enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brett Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Albert Morales finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Brett Johns 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.