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Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Morales vs Brett Johns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brett Johns
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Brett Johns

“The Pikey”

20-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1628Solid

Tale of the tape

15-9-1Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach39.00
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Systems Training CenterTeamChris Rees Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert MoralesNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Brett JohnsNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.86
36%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.91
Takedown avg.
4.92
36%
Takedown accuracy
49%
71%
Takedown defense
58%
0.18
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Albert MoralesBrett Johns
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
5 (33%)
Submission
6 (30%)
3 (20%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Brett Johns72%
Albert Morales 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brett Johns a 72% favorite over Albert Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Morales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.

Albert Morales enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Brett Johns enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Albert Morales finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Brett Johns 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.