Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Morales vs Dan Argueta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Argueta
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Dan Argueta

“The Determined”

9-3-0BantamweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

15-9-1Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Systems Training CenterTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert MoralesNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Dan ArguetaNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
36%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.91
Takedown avg.
4.36
36%
Takedown accuracy
36%
71%
Takedown defense
56%
0.18
Submission avg.
1.45

Trajectory

Albert MoralesDan Argueta
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (33%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (20%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Argueta60%
Albert Morales 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Argueta a 60% favorite over Albert Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Morales's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

Albert Morales enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Albert Morales finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Dan Argueta 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.