Albert Morales vs Thomas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-1Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
39,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Systems Training CenterTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Albert Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-10→ 1620
If they win+10→ 1711
If they lose-14→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Albert MoralesThomas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Almeida78%
Albert Morales 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Almeida a 78% favorite over Albert Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1630, a 71-point edge.
Albert Morales enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Albert Morales finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.