Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Tumenov vs Anthony Lapsley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73,0"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

Albert Tumenov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Lapsley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Albert TumenovNow 1763
If they win+9→ 1772
If they lose-15→ 1748
Anthony LapsleyNow 1659
If they win+15→ 1674
If they lose-9→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
0.53
42%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.58
59%
Strike defense
67%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
75%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Albert TumenovAnthony Lapsley
1650170017502023

Win method breakdown

15 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
0 (0%)
Submission
16 (70%)
9 (38%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Albert Tumenov83%
Anthony Lapsley 17%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Albert Tumenov a 83% favorite over Anthony Lapsley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Albert Tumenov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1659, a 104-point edge.

Albert Tumenov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Anthony Lapsley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Albert Tumenov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Lapsley 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.