Albert Tumenov vs Colby Covington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-5-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73,0"Reach72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1775
If they lose-12→ 1751
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1776 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Albert TumenovColby Covington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Albert Tumenov68%
Colby Covington 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Albert Tumenov a 68% favorite over Colby Covington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colby Covington's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1763 vs 1765), separated by just 2 points.
Albert Tumenov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Albert Tumenov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Colby Covington 47%.
Albert Tumenov and Colby Covington share 1 common opponent: Leon Edwards.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.