Albert Tumenov vs Gunnar Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-5-0Record19-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73,0"Reach72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMjolnir
What's at stake
Albert Tumenov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gunnar Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1770
If they lose-14→ 1746
If they win+18→ 1728
If they lose-14→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Albert TumenovGunnar Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Albert Tumenov66%
Gunnar Nelson 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Albert Tumenov a 66% favorite over Gunnar Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Albert Tumenov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1710, a 50-point edge.
Albert Tumenov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Gunnar Nelson 89%.
Albert Tumenov and Gunnar Nelson share 1 common opponent: Leon Edwards.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.