Albert Tumenov vs Ildemar Alcantara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-7-0Record26-18-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
73"Reach44,0"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMarajo Brothers Team
What's at stake
Albert Tumenov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Ildemar Alcantara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1767
If they lose-19→ 1743
If they win+19→ 1547
If they lose-5→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Albert TumenovIldemar Alcantara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Albert Tumenov89%
Ildemar Alcantara 11%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Albert Tumenov a 89% favorite over Ildemar Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Albert Tumenov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1528, a 234-point edge.
Ildemar Alcantara enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Albert Tumenov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ildemar Alcantara 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.