Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Tumenov vs Joaquin Buckley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record21-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73,0"Reach76"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert TumenovNow 1760
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
42%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
59%
Strike defense
59%
0.20
Takedown avg.
1.43
20%
Takedown accuracy
17%
75%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Albert TumenovJoaquin Buckley
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (63%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (38%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquin Buckley63%
Albert Tumenov 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 63% favorite over Albert Tumenov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Albert Tumenov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1755), separated by just 5 points.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Albert Tumenov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Buckley 71%.

Joaquin Buckley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.