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Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Tumenov vs Lorenz Larkin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-7-0Record27-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach73"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert TumenovNow 1762
If they win+12→ 1774
If they lose-12→ 1750
Lorenz LarkinNow 1766
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
42%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
59%
Strike defense
64%
0.20
Takedown avg.
0.27
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
75%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Albert TumenovLorenz Larkin
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (64%)
KO/TKO
15 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (36%)
Decision
12 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Albert Tumenov74%
Lorenz Larkin 26%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Albert Tumenov a 74% favorite over Lorenz Larkin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lorenz Larkin's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1762 vs 1766), separated by just 4 points.

Lorenz Larkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Albert Tumenov finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Lorenz Larkin 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.