Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Tumenov vs Michael Chiesa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73,0"Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Albert TumenovNow 1760
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-12→ 1748
Michael ChiesaNow 1758
If they win+12→ 1770
If they lose-12→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.73
59%
Strike defense
58%
0.20
Takedown avg.
3.05
20%
Takedown accuracy
48%
75%
Takedown defense
68%
0
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Albert TumenovMichael Chiesa
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (65%)
9 (38%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Albert Tumenov and Michael Chiesa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1758), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Albert Tumenov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.

Michael Chiesa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.