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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberth Bahamondes vs Oban Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oban Elliott
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Oban Elliott

“The Welsh Gangster”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberth BahamondesNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Oban ElliottNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.52
Not available
Takedown accuracy
15%
Not available
Takedown defense
52%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alberth BahamondesOban Elliott
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (57%)
Submission
3 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Oban Elliott58%
Alberth Bahamondes 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 58% favorite over Alberth Bahamondes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alberth Bahamondes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.

Alberth Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alberth Bahamondes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.