Alberto Crane vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alberto Crane MMATeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
Kurt Pellegrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alberto Crane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1611
If they lose-15→ 1579
If they win+15→ 1634
If they lose-17→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alberto CraneKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino56%
Alberto Crane 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 56% favorite over Alberto Crane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Kurt Pellegrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1594, a 25-point edge.
Alberto Crane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alberto Crane finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.